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WORKING PAPERS
April 23, 2024
This paper explores the potential implications of a declining absolute labor force on economic outcomes. It explores key macroeconomic variables during periods of negative and positive prime age (15-65) population growth (PAPG). These variables include 10-year bond yields, consumer price indices, fe...
Blog Post
April 23, 2024
The ongoing global demographic transition is massive in scale and likely impact. For most of the past 200 years, the vast majority of the world’s countries have seen population growth, particularly working-age population growth. As they’ve gone through the "demographic transition" toward lower birth...
Blog Post
April 02, 2024
On July 9 and 10, the World Bank and the Center for Global Development will co-host the Annual Bank Conference on Development Economics (ABCDE). On the first day, the conference will aim to bring coherence to development policy debates by bringing together the world’s top economic minds to focus on ...
Blog Post
March 18, 2024
Against the odds, a plucky little IMF engine—the Resilience and Sustainability Trust, or RST—has won plaudits for its efforts to support countries formulating policies to tackle climate change. It has taken up the challenge with only $30 billion as firepower, against the trillions needed from all ...
POLICY PAPERS
March 18, 2024
The IMF’s Resilience and Sustainability Trust (RST) has been operational for over a year, with the first seventeen countries receiving commitments of financial support. But if lending from the RST is to achieve its objectives, the IMF should make it fitter for purpose by taking a radically different...
CGD NOTES
March 15, 2024
The November guidance on RSF seems to have addressed some of the shortcomings observed in the initial RSF programs. However, as we highlight in this note, other deficiencies remain unresolved and require attention from the IMF’s Executive Board during the upcoming RSF review.
Blog Post
March 07, 2024
In this blog, we explore how OECD Development Assistance Committee (DAC) providers have been incorporating gender-based targets in their climate-related Official Development Assistance (ODA). We find that development finance categorised as climate-related has increasingly incorporated gender-related...
Blog Post
February 20, 2024
In a new note, I suggest there’s little evidence that aid (official development assistance, or ODA) spent on climate mitigation is actually reducing emissions. That’s not to say the finance is wasted: much will have been spent on projects with considerable development impact and some, surely, reduce...
CGD NOTES
February 20, 2024
An increasing proportion of official development assistance (ODA) is being dedicated to climate, and climate mitigation in particular. Even were that spending highly effective, and despite reaching about $30 billion in 2020, it is not large enough to finance investment that would significantly slow ...