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Blog Post
May 21, 2024
This week, Kenyan President William Ruto will be the first African leader to receive an official state visit since President George W. Bush invited Ghanaian President John Kufuor in 2008. President Ruto is traveling to Washington to mark the 60th anniversary of US-Kenyan diplomatic relations. But un...
CGD NOTES
May 14, 2024
This note presents two scenarios for the world economy and development prospects to 2050 based on the forecasting exercises and analysis presented in a series of papers by Philip Adom, Augustin Kwasi Fosu, Dede Woade Gafa, Zack Gehan, Brian Webster, Ranil Dissanayake and Charles Kenny.
Blog Post
May 14, 2024
Richer aging countries need educated young workers to provide the services and entrepreneurial talent to sustain their quality of life. A growing population of young, increasingly educated people in poorer countries, and especially in Africa, need good jobs and greater opportunities. More trade in s...
Blog Post
May 10, 2024
While there was no great fanfare coming out of the IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings, a closer look at the official statements reveals simmering tensions between major constituencies over the execution of the World Bank’s new “Livable Planet” agenda. These tensions were fueled by debates over the alloc...
Blog Post
May 06, 2024
MEL practitioners—and knowledge producers more generally—should adopt an approach that is attuned to a realistic model of the stages of the policy process and be ready to seize windows of opportunity to apply evidence. This may require navigating competing demands, recognizing tradeoffs, and making ...
WORKING PAPERS
April 23, 2024
This paper explores the potential implications of a declining absolute labor force on economic outcomes. It explores key macroeconomic variables during periods of negative and positive prime age (15-65) population growth (PAPG). These variables include 10-year bond yields, consumer price indices, fe...
Blog Post
April 23, 2024
The ongoing global demographic transition is massive in scale and likely impact. For most of the past 200 years, the vast majority of the world’s countries have seen population growth, particularly working-age population growth. As they’ve gone through the "demographic transition" toward lower birth...
Blog Post
April 05, 2024
As the Center for Global Development’s inaugural Evidence in Policy Fellow, I just finished an extended engagement to help increase data and evidence use in the State Department’s Office of Foreign Assistance. While at State, I spent much of my time leading and participating in the work of the inter...