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Blog Post
May 21, 2024
This week, Kenyan President William Ruto will be the first African leader to receive an official state visit since President George W. Bush invited Ghanaian President John Kufuor in 2008. President Ruto is traveling to Washington to mark the 60th anniversary of US-Kenyan diplomatic relations. But un...
Blog Post
May 10, 2024
While there was no great fanfare coming out of the IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings, a closer look at the official statements reveals simmering tensions between major constituencies over the execution of the World Bank’s new “Livable Planet” agenda. These tensions were fueled by debates over the alloc...
Blog Post
May 06, 2024
MEL practitioners—and knowledge producers more generally—should adopt an approach that is attuned to a realistic model of the stages of the policy process and be ready to seize windows of opportunity to apply evidence. This may require navigating competing demands, recognizing tradeoffs, and making ...
WORKING PAPERS
April 23, 2024
This paper explores the potential implications of a declining absolute labor force on economic outcomes. It explores key macroeconomic variables during periods of negative and positive prime age (15-65) population growth (PAPG). These variables include 10-year bond yields, consumer price indices, fe...
Blog Post
April 23, 2024
The ongoing global demographic transition is massive in scale and likely impact. For most of the past 200 years, the vast majority of the world’s countries have seen population growth, particularly working-age population growth. As they’ve gone through the "demographic transition" toward lower birth...
Blog Post
April 09, 2024
It's spring in DC, which means it's time once again for the IMF-World Bank Spring Meetings. Finance ministers, central bank governors, and other top officials from around the world gather to discuss the state of the world economy and the international financial architecture, and CGD's researchers ar...
Blog Post
April 05, 2024
One of the most serious challenges facing the global economy today is the impending sovereign debt crisis in many middle- and low-income countries. The fiscal outlook in some of these countries appeared dire even before interest rates started climbing and spending related to COVID-19 caused debts to...
Blog Post
April 05, 2024
As the Center for Global Development’s inaugural Evidence in Policy Fellow, I just finished an extended engagement to help increase data and evidence use in the State Department’s Office of Foreign Assistance. While at State, I spent much of my time leading and participating in the work of the inter...
WORKING PAPERS
April 02, 2024
Starting in 2001, duty-free access to U.S. markets under the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) led to a brief boom in African manufacturing exports, particularly apparel, which then fizzled in the face of unfettered Chinese competition after 2005. The looming expiration of AGOA—and eroding C...