Ideas to action: independent research for global prosperity
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WORKING PAPERS
June 05, 2024
This study investigates the link between Southwest US border crossings and labor market tightness, measured by the job openings to unemployed ratio, over nearly 25 years (2000–2023). Analyzing monthly data, it finds a strong positive correlation, suggesting that increased border crossings align with...
POLICY PAPERS
August 07, 2023
CGD conducted a landscaping exercise to better understand the current landscape of organizations headquartered in sub-Saharan Africa that boast impact evaluation capacity. The resulting database is intended as a resource for funders looking to advance locally led development; to help facilitate coor...
CGD NOTES
June 05, 2023
The World Bank’s lending function is important and irreplaceable. But providing countries with an important source of financing and investing in evidence do not have to be in tension. The role of evaluation should shift from an assessment function to one in which evaluation is a central tool of pro...
CGD NOTES
March 20, 2023
With global challenges high on the international agenda and financing set to increase in the coming years, a big push on evidence, backed by dedicated resources, is essential. This note makes the case for a reinvigorated evidence agenda to boost the impact of financing for development and global pub...
WORKING PAPERS
February 21, 2023
Immigration policy can have important net fiscal effects that vary by immigrants’ skill level. But mainstream methods to estimate these effects are problematic. Methods based on cash-flow accounting offer precision at the cost of bias; methods based on general equilibrium modeling address bias with ...
WORKING PAPERS
January 23, 2023
The US limits work visas for low-skill jobs outside of agriculture, with a binding quota that firms access via a randomized lottery. We evaluate the marginal impact of the quota on firms entering the 2021 H-2B visa lottery using a novel survey and pre-analysis plan. Firms exogenously authorized to e...
POLICY PAPERS
November 03, 2022
Few labor-based pathways for regular migration are available for people in Northern Central America. This paper summarizes the state of labor-based migration channels in the region and argues that extending those channels is a necessary complement to asylum reform. It offers five recommendations for...
POLICY PAPERS
October 31, 2022
The US is looking for ways to stimulate economic development within, and expand legal migration pathways from, El Salvador, Guatemala, and Honduras. At the same time, US employers are struggling with shortages in key industries. A Global Skill Partnership between the US and El Salvador, Guatemala, o...
BRIEFS
July 19, 2022
This brief summarizes the final report of the working group. The report collates resources and insights on progress in implementing and using impact evaluations for decision making and proposes five ways to improve impact evaluation funding and practice, directed to the development community
BRIEFS
July 19, 2022
This brief lays out how the World Bank can more systematically embed impact evaluation and related data and evidence functions into programming, implementation, and country support. The recommendations are based on working group discussions, consultations with experts currently and formerly at the W...