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CGD NOTES
May 14, 2024
This note presents two scenarios for the world economy and development prospects to 2050 based on the forecasting exercises and analysis presented in a series of papers by Philip Adom, Augustin Kwasi Fosu, Dede Woade Gafa, Zack Gehan, Brian Webster, Ranil Dissanayake and Charles Kenny.
Blog Post
May 14, 2024
Richer aging countries need educated young workers to provide the services and entrepreneurial talent to sustain their quality of life. A growing population of young, increasingly educated people in poorer countries, and especially in Africa, need good jobs and greater opportunities. More trade in s...
Blog Post
May 09, 2024
As many countries around the world prepare to celebrate Mothers’ Day weekend, including in the United States, care is at the top of many people’s minds. This theme resonates from intimate household spaces to the broad corridors of global policy. The G20 is one global policy space where, each year, i...
WORKING PAPERS
April 23, 2024
This paper explores the potential implications of a declining absolute labor force on economic outcomes. It explores key macroeconomic variables during periods of negative and positive prime age (15-65) population growth (PAPG). These variables include 10-year bond yields, consumer price indices, fe...
Blog Post
April 23, 2024
The ongoing global demographic transition is massive in scale and likely impact. For most of the past 200 years, the vast majority of the world’s countries have seen population growth, particularly working-age population growth. As they’ve gone through the "demographic transition" toward lower birth...
Blog Post
March 05, 2024
Brazil kicked off the Finance Track of its term as G20 president on February 28-29 with a clarion call for progressive international economic action. Despite some of the familiar G20 dysfunction, the Brazilian G20 gives me a shred of hope. The Brazilians put forward some big ideas.
Blog Post
November 22, 2023
Under the Indian Presidency, the G20 tasked N.K. Singh and Larry Summers to convene an independent expert group (IEG) to recommend how to strengthen multilateral development banks and address the shared global challenges of the 21st century (disclosure: we were both part of the Secretariat supportin...
Blog Post
October 16, 2023
The real test after the meetings will be how to identify sources of concessional financing for middle-income countries while still delivering on IDA. Donors have leaned heavily on capital adequacy reforms and private sector mobilization as sources of finance, but there is no escaping the fact that t...
CGD NOTES
October 13, 2023
A world on fire requires the multilateral development banks to be at center stage in creating an effective response and bringing diverse actors to support a shared agenda of transformative development. MDBs have a distinctive comparative advantage in playing a catalytic role in fostering government ...