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CGD NOTES
May 14, 2024
This note presents two scenarios for the world economy and development prospects to 2050 based on the forecasting exercises and analysis presented in a series of papers by Philip Adom, Augustin Kwasi Fosu, Dede Woade Gafa, Zack Gehan, Brian Webster, Ranil Dissanayake and Charles Kenny.
Blog Post
May 14, 2024
Richer aging countries need educated young workers to provide the services and entrepreneurial talent to sustain their quality of life. A growing population of young, increasingly educated people in poorer countries, and especially in Africa, need good jobs and greater opportunities. More trade in s...
Blog Post
May 08, 2024
Managing pandemics is not just about halting the spread of disease—it's about striking a careful balance between preserving public health and minimizing disruptions to daily life and well-being. Crafting effective policies in such situations requires a deep understanding of factors including how the...
WORKING PAPERS
April 23, 2024
This paper explores the potential implications of a declining absolute labor force on economic outcomes. It explores key macroeconomic variables during periods of negative and positive prime age (15-65) population growth (PAPG). These variables include 10-year bond yields, consumer price indices, fe...
Blog Post
April 23, 2024
The ongoing global demographic transition is massive in scale and likely impact. For most of the past 200 years, the vast majority of the world’s countries have seen population growth, particularly working-age population growth. As they’ve gone through the "demographic transition" toward lower birth...
Blog Post
April 15, 2024
In theory, disinvestment offers the potential to release resources for achieving UHC during challenging fiscal times. However, in practice, it is time- and resource-consuming and results in less benefit than expected at the outset. The opportunity cost of launching an initiative needs to be weighed ...
POLICY PAPERS
April 15, 2024
Many low- and middle-income countries are projected to spend less on health over the rest of this decade than they did pre-2020. The adage “more health for the money” is more meaningful than ever—but how do we act on it quickly? Disinvesting from low-value health technologies and interventions is on...
Blog Post
February 26, 2024
As most of the developing world struggles to increase, let alone maintain current levels of domestic health expenditure, getting more health for the money has never been more important. Building robust health technology assessment (HTA) systems to inform governments on which health technologies and ...
Blog Post
December 14, 2023
The low quality of health care services has become a primary concern globally and for low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) that have made bold commitments to progress toward universal health coverage. Despite improvements, an estimated five million deaths could be averted globally through better...